Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000675 0.000766 0.000862 0.000970 0.001090 0.001217 0.001362
2025-11-30 0.000529 0.000654 0.000796 0.000966 0.001165 0.001389 0.001657
2025-12-07 0.000450 0.000591 0.000758 0.000966 0.001219 0.001514 0.001879
2025-12-14 0.000386 0.000535 0.000718 0.000956 0.001255 0.001612 0.002067
2025-12-21 0.000334 0.000486 0.000681 0.000942 0.001278 0.001691 0.002230
2025-12-28 0.000307 0.000467 0.000678 0.000968 0.001351 0.001831 0.002470
2026-01-04 0.000281 0.000446 0.000668 0.000983 0.001408 0.001951 0.002687
2026-01-11 0.000251 0.000415 0.000643 0.000975 0.001432 0.002028 0.002848
2026-01-18 0.000224 0.000385 0.000617 0.000962 0.001448 0.002092 0.002992
2026-01-25 0.000206 0.000368 0.000607 0.000971 0.001493 0.002195 0.003189
2026-02-01 0.000189 0.000350 0.000595 0.000974 0.001528 0.002285 0.003371
2026-02-08 0.000165 0.000320 0.000560 0.000943 0.001513 0.002304 0.003455
2026-02-15 0.000145 0.000293 0.000531 0.000918 0.001505 0.002334 0.003555
2026-02-22 0.000132 0.000277 0.000516 0.000914 0.001528 0.002406 0.003716
2026-03-01 0.000121 0.000264 0.000505 0.000914 0.001556 0.002486 0.003888
2026-03-08 0.000109 0.000248 0.000488 0.000904 0.001568 0.002543 0.004028
2026-03-15 0.000098 0.000231 0.000470 0.000890 0.001573 0.002587 0.004151
2026-03-22 0.000094 0.000229 0.000475 0.000915 0.001638 0.002724 0.004410
2026-03-29 0.000089 0.000223 0.000474 0.000930 0.001688 0.002837 0.004637
2026-04-05 0.000081 0.000211 0.000460 0.000922 0.001701 0.002895 0.004783
2026-04-12 0.000073 0.000198 0.000444 0.000910 0.001706 0.002940 0.004910
2026-04-19 0.000068 0.000193 0.000441 0.000919 0.001745 0.003039 0.005119
2026-04-26 0.000063 0.000185 0.000435 0.000922 0.001775 0.003123 0.005308